Social Betting Lab

Build Your Own Odds

Estimate probabilities, attach theories, find value against the bookmakers and feed the optimize-anything loop with community insight.

Select match

⚽J. League 2/3 100 Year Vision Leagueupcoming

Sun 22 Feb · --:--

Your probability

1 · Kochi United SC32%

X · Draw42%

2 · Zweigen Kanazawa26%

Fair odds: 1 3.13 · X 2.38 · 2 3.85

You vs market

1 (Kochi United SC)32.0% (+0.3pp)

X42.0% (+0.5pp)

2 (Zweigen Kanazawa)26.0% (-0.8pp)

Value Scanner

Best available odds

Home

2.63

Provider 455

Draw

2.00

↓

2.10

Provider 455

Away

3.10

↑

3.00

Provider 455

Line Movement: 1 bookmaker(s) have adjusted odds.

Adjust sliders above to find value vs these odds.

EV & Kelly (Kochi United SC wins)

EV -16.0% · Kelly 0.0%

Theories (max 3)

Used as ASI in the optimize loop

Post your bet

UsernameOutcome

Rationale

Theories: none selected

Community Feed (0)

⚡ Quick read — who wins?

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Prematch Value Scan

Data Model

Today's matches where the Enetpulse data model diverges most from bookmaker pricing. Markets with highest calculated value.

No significant divergences detected across loaded markets.

Smart Picks

3 picks

Odds-implied form profile matched against historical results. When past matches had a similar strength gap, the outcome differed from what bookmakers price today.

Warszawa vs Plock

Ekstraklasa

+38.1%

Pick: Legia Warszawa · Bet365 2.38 · Fair 1.72

Warszawa

58.1%

Draw

22.2%

Plock

19.7%

In 2,635 past matches between home-favoured (strength gap moderate), the picked outcome hit 58% — but Bet365 prices it at only 42%.

2,635 matches · form gap 8Bet

SC vs Kanazawa

J. League 2/3 100 Year Vision League

+20.4%

Pick: Kochi United SC · Provider 455 2.63 · Fair 2.18

45.9%

Draw

25.1%

Kanazawa

29.0%

In 11,522 past matches between evenly-matched teams, the picked outcome hit 46% — but Provider 455 prices it at only 38%.

11,522 matches · form gap 2Bet

04 vs Magdeburg

2. Bundesliga

+19.2%

Pick: Schalke 04 · Bet365 2.30 · Fair 1.93

51.7%

Draw

24.0%

Magdeburg

24.3%

In 6,012 past matches between home-favoured (strength gap moderate), the picked outcome hit 52% — but Bet365 prices it at only 43%.

6,012 matches · form gap 5Bet

Community Consensus

No open posts for this match yet.

Aggregate of all open user estimates.

Leaderboard

No settled bets yet.

Post your predictions below — bets settle automatically when matches finish. Your ROI is tracked here.

⚡ Bets auto-settle when matches finish. 👑 Verified Tipster: top ROI with ≥3 settled bets.

Optimize-Anything

Gen 1

✓ 155 real matches·155 form-signal

AI Pick (gen 1)

low

Draw

Market implies KOC as slight favourite (xgDiff 0.20).

Narrow implied-strength gap → draw-zone.

Theory signals: Tactical Matchup.

Form signal analysis

Home favoured (formDiff >3)54.8% (17/31)

Away favoured (formDiff <−3)35.7% (10/28)

Balanced form (|formDiff| ≤2)36.5% (23/63)

Accuracy

Baseline34.8%

Optimised34.8%(+0.0pp)

Learned rule

Base pick from market-implied xgDiff, tight-market → draw.

Misses → ASI

❌ 4837308: generic miss — predicted 2, actual 1.

❌ 5147658: generic miss — predicted X, actual 1.

❌ 4862737: generic miss — predicted X, actual 1.

Adjustments

→ Prefer draw when xG-diff is small and market odds are balanced.

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Use community + theories as ASI